WebUsing the asset-pricing approach developed in Chen, Rogoff and Rossi (2010), we show that information from the currency and equity markets of several commodity-exporting economies can help forecast world agricultural prices. Our formulation builds upon the notion that because these countries’ currency and equity valuations depend on the world ... Webby Chen, Rogoff and Rossi. They claim that exchange rates of commodity exporting countries forecast commodity prices, but take lagged end-of-quarter exchange rates as their independent variable and quarterly commodity price averages as their dependent variable, which obviously introduces spurious forecastability.
Forecasting Aluminum Prices with Commodity Currencies
WebYu-chin Chen & Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi, 2010. "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," Working Papers 10-07, Duke University, Department of Economics. Kenneth Rogoff & Barbara Rossi & Yu-chin Chen, 2008. "Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices?," 2008 Meeting Papers 540, Society for Economic Dynamics. cheap lucky brand jeans
Can Exchange Rates Forecast Commodity Prices? by Yu-Chin Chen …
WebChen, Rogoff and Rossi (2008) were the first to find a promising link between exchange rates and commodity prices for commodity-currency countries. Their study shows that exchange rates can be used to accurately predict commodity prices; however, they only analyze countries with floating official exchange rates, which is an unnecessarily narrow ... WebChen and Rogoff (2003) and Chen, Rogoff, and Rossi (2009). To resolve the econometrical identification problem in estimating currency returns, these works focused … WebMay 10, 2010 · Chen, Rogoff, and Rossi (2010) worked on predictability in an aggregate commodity price index, which involves more than forty traded products. In addition to evidence that exchange rates predict ... cheap lucy dacus tickets